Almeria vs Burgos prediction

Almeria have won eight, drawn two and lost two of their 12 Segunda Division games so far, scoring 23 and letting in 10. That has them 2nd on 26 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Mallorca 1-0 away; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Celta and a 2-0 win away at Cordoba.

Almeria are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last four. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Segunda Division, Burgos have won six, drawn three and lost three of 12, with 17 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 7th place and 21 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.3 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat Eldense 1-0 at home; before that came a 2-1 win away at Las Palmas and a 3-1 win at home to Ceuta.

Burgos are unbeaten in five. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Almeria: Almeria have won two of their last two at home, Burgos one of their last three on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Almeria clear favourites at 55%, with Burgos on 19% and the draw at 27%.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.5 for Almeria and 1.0 for Burgos. Over 2.5 goals is 44% and both teams scoring 48%. Their last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished 0-0.