Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro prediction, 29 October 2026

Atletico-MG

Thursday, 29 October 2026

01Half time 0 : 1Serie A

Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge 4′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

39.9%Atletico-MG

27.9%Draw

32.1%Cruzeiro

Double chance

Atletico-MG or draw68%

Either team wins72%

Cruzeiro or draw60%

1.6Atletico-MG2.7expected goals1.2Cruzeiro

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.593%7%

1.576%24%

2.553%47%

3.532%68%

4.517%83%

Both teams to score

Yes54%No46%

GG2+

No84%Yes16%

Team total goals

OverAtletico-MGCruzeiro

0.579%69%

1.546%34%

2.523%13%

Clean sheet

Atletico-MG31%Cruzeiro21%

Win to nil

Atletico-MG22%Cruzeiro17%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw28%

WinsAtletico-MGCruzeiro

by 119%19%

by 211%8%

by 3+10%5%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals24%2-3 goals44%4-5 goals24%6+ goals8%

Match preview · Serie A

Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro: preview and prediction

29 Oct 2026 · 22:30Arena MRVRaphael Claus, Brazil

Atletico-MG welcome Cruzeiro to Arena MRV in Bello Harisanta on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 22:30. It's matchday 33 in the Serie A. Atletico-MG go into it 7th in the table after 33 games, with Cruzeiro 3rd. Last time out Atletico-MG were beaten 3-2 at Flamengo RJ, and Cruzeiro beat Remo 1-0 at home. Atletico-MG haven't lost any of their last three at home.

The forecast

40%Atletico-MG28%Draw32%Cruzeiro

Expected goals1.6-1.2Over 2.5 goals53%Both teams score54%

FormEvenHome and awayAtletico-MGThe tableCruzeiroGoalsEvenHead to headAtletico-MGTeam newsCruzeiro

Atletico-MG: form and key numbers

So far in the Serie A, Atletico-MG have won 14, drawn eight and lost 11 of 33, with 44 goals scored and 39 conceded, good for 7th place and 50 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Flamengo RJ away; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Atletico Torque and a 1-0 win at home to Coritiba.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (6 scored, 1 conceded). Cuello (ribs injury), Everson (foot injury) and Fred (muscle injury), plus four others, are all unavailable.

Atletico-MGLast 6 · 3W 1D 2L

26 OctAFlamengo RJ2-3L
21 OctAAtletico Torque0-2L
17 OctHCoritiba1-0W
14 OctHAtletico Torque3-0W
11 OctHSantos2-1W
8 OctAAthletico-PR2-2D

1.7scored a game1.3conceded a game1.7points a game

At home · last 3WWW

Atletico-MG: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Cruzeiro: form and key numbers

Cruzeiro have won 17, drawn six and lost ten of their 33 Serie A games so far, scoring 52 and letting in 46. That has them 3rd on 57 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 2.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Remo 1-0 at home; before that came a 4-2 win away at Gremio and a 4-2 defeat away at Bragantino.

They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of four recently (10 scored, 9 conceded). Felipe Morais (muscle injury), Gabriel Pec (broken leg) and K. Arroyo (injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

CruzeiroLast 6 · 4W 0D 2L

23 OctHRemo1-0W
18 OctAGremio4-2W
13 OctABragantino2-4L
8 OctHSao Paulo2-0W
20 SeptAVitoria3-1W
13 SeptASantos1-2L

2.2scored a game1.5conceded a game2.0points a game

Away · last 4WLWL

Cruzeiro: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro: match analysis

Home and away form points to Atletico-MG: Atletico-MG have won three of their last three at home, Cruzeiro two of their last four on the road. Seven points separate the two sides in the table.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
2	Palmeiras	33	20	10	3	+34	70
3	Cruzeiro	33	17	6	10	+6	57
4	Fluminense	33	15	9	9	+10	54
···
6	Bahia	33	14	11	8	+6	53
7	Atletico-MG	33	14	8	11	+5	50
8	Bragantino	34	13	8	13	+5	47

We make Atletico-MG favourites at 40%, with Cruzeiro on 32% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

Goals, recent and expected

1.7Scored a game2.2
1.3Conceded a game1.5
1.6Expected here (xG)1.2

Over 1.576%Over 2.553%Over 3.532%Both score54%

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.6 for Atletico-MG and 1.2 for Cruzeiro. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 3 May 2026, Atletico-MG won 3-1.

Last meetings