Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin prediction

Raków Częstochowa have won two, drawn none and lost ten of their 12 Ekstraklasa games so far, scoring 16 and letting in 28. That has them 18th on 6 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Motor Lublin; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Wisla and a 2-1 win away at Wieczysta Kraków.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won one of two recently (5 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Ekstraklasa, Pogon Szczecin have won seven, drawn three and lost one of 11, with 19 goals scored and 9 conceded, good for 4th place and 24 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, one draw and no defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat Radomiak Radom 4-3 at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at GKS Katowice and a 2-0 win at home to Korona Kielce.

Pogon Szczecin are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of two recently (3 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Pogon Szczecin: Raków Częstochowa have won one of their last two at home, Pogon Szczecin two of their last two on the road. 18 points separate the two sides in the table. Pogon Szczecin also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Raków Częstochowa favourites at 43%, with Pogon Szczecin on 30% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.4 for Raków Częstochowa and 1.4 for Pogon Szczecin. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 56%. When they last met, on 8 Mar 2026, Rakow won 2-0.