NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction

NK Varazdin have won five, drawn four and lost three of their 12 HNL games so far, scoring 16 and letting in 11. That has them 4th on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, three draws and two defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with HNK Rijeka; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and a 2-1 defeat at home to NK Slaven Belupo.

NK Varazdin haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the HNL, Dinamo Zagreb have won seven, drawn one and lost three of 11, with 25 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 2nd place and 22 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Sunderland 2-0 away; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Rudes and a 2-1 win at home to HNK Rijeka.

Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Dinamo Zagreb: NK Varazdin have won none of their last three at home, Dinamo Zagreb two of their last three on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Dinamo Zagreb also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Dinamo Zagreb clear favourites at 57%, with NK Varazdin on 19% and the draw at 24%.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 0.8 for NK Varazdin and 1.9 for Dinamo Zagreb. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 47%. When they last met, on 25 May 2025, Dinamo Zagreb won 1-0.