Ahal vs Şagadam prediction

Ahal have won 14, drawn three and lost six of their 23 Ýokary Liga games so far, scoring 52 and letting in 28. That has them 3rd on 45 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Altyn Asyr 2-0 away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Al Ansar and a 5-1 defeat away at Al Ittihad.

They have scored in each of their last four. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Ýokary Liga, Şagadam have won seven, drawn four and lost 13 of 24, with 22 goals scored and 39 conceded, good for 4th place and 25 points.

Over the last five matches it has been one win, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.4 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Köpetdag Aşgabat; before that came a 4-0 defeat at home to Arkadag and a 3-0 defeat away at Nebitci.

Şagadam haven't won in four. They failed to score in four of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Ahal: Ahal have won one of their last three at home, Şagadam none of their last two on the road. 20 points separate the two sides in the table. Ahal also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Ahal favourites at 49%, with Şagadam on 28% and the draw at 23%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.7 for Ahal and 1.3 for Şagadam. Over 2.5 goals is 55% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 5 Sept 2026, Şagadam won 2-1.