Hobro vs Esbjerg prediction

Hobro have won four, drawn four and lost five of their 13 1. Division games so far, scoring 16 and letting in 23. That has them 6th on 16 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, three draws and three defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Aalborg; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Vendsyssel and a 3-0 defeat away at Fredericia.

Hobro haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 6 conceded).

So far in the 1. Division, Esbjerg have won two, drawn five and lost six of 13, with 16 goals scored and 24 conceded, good for 12th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Hvidovre IF; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Nordsjaelland and a 2-1 win at home to Fredericia.

They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 3 conceded).

There isn't much between Hobro's home form and Esbjerg's away form. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Esbjerg also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Hobro favourites at 37%, with Esbjerg on 35% and the draw at 27%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.6 for Hobro and 1.3 for Esbjerg. Over 2.5 goals is 55% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 28 Jun 2020, Hobro won 2-1.