Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense prediction

Marcílio Dias have won three, drawn four and lost one of their eight Copa Santa Catarina games so far, scoring 19 and letting in 13. That has them 4th on 13 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, four draws and one defeat, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Barra; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Figueirense and a goalless draw away at Nação.

Marcílio Dias are unbeaten in five. At home they've won one of three recently (8 scored, 6 conceded).

So far in the Copa Santa Catarina, Figueirense have won five, drawn two and lost one of eight, with 11 goals scored and 7 conceded, good for 1st place and 17 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Blumenau away; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Joinville and a 2-2 draw away at Marcílio Dias.

They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of four recently (7 scored, 6 conceded).

There isn't much between Marcílio Dias's home form and Figueirense's away form. Four points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Marcílio Dias favourites at 47%, with Figueirense on 28% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Marcílio Dias still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.9 for Marcílio Dias and 1.3 for Figueirense. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 56%. Their last meeting, on 16 Oct 2026, finished 2-2.