Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra prediction

Over the last five matches it has been no wins, no draws and five defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 2.8 against. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Al Wahda FC at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Al-Wasl FC and a 2-0 defeat at home to Al-Jazira.

Khorfakkan haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. At home they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 7 conceded).

Their last five in all competitions read one win, no draws and four defeats, at 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Dubai United 5-1 at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Al Wahda FC and a 2-1 defeat away at Sharjah FC.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 4 conceded).

There isn't much between Khorfakkan's home form and Al-Dhafra's away form. Al-Dhafra also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Khorfakkan favourites at 49%, with Al-Dhafra on 29% and the draw at 23%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Khorfakkan still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.6 for Khorfakkan and 1.4 for Al-Dhafra. Over 2.5 goals is 55% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 18 Apr 2023, Khorfakkan won 3-1.