Newcastle United vs Bournemouth prediction

So far in the Premier League, Newcastle United have won three, drawn two and lost three of eight, with 12 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 12th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 away; before that came a 3-2 win at home to West Bromwich Albion and a 2-2 draw at home to Liverpool.

Newcastle United are unbeaten in three. At home they've won two of three recently (8 scored, 5 conceded).

Bournemouth have won three, drawn three and lost three of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 14 and letting in 13. That has them 7th on 12 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, three draws and one defeat, at 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Everton; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Manchester City and a 1-1 draw away at Nottingham Forest.

Bournemouth haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Newcastle United: Newcastle United have won two of their last three at home, Bournemouth one of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table.

We make Newcastle United favourites at 45%, with Bournemouth on 27% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.5 for Newcastle United and 1.3 for Bournemouth. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 58%. When they last met, on 18 Apr 2026, Bournemouth won 2-1.