Al-Washm vs Al Loa prediction

Over the last four matches it has been one win, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 3.0 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Al Hada; before that came a 4-3 win away at Al Shoalah and a 2-0 defeat at home to Al Rawdhah.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

Their last four in all competitions read two wins, one draw and one defeat, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Qilwah 2-1 at home; before that came a 2-1 win away at Al Rawdhah and a 3-1 defeat away at Al Shoalah.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Al Loa: Al-Washm have won none of their last two at home, Al Loa one of their last two on the road. Al Loa also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Al-Washm favourites at 40%, with Al Loa on 32% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Al-Washm still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.5 for Al-Washm and 1.4 for Al Loa. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 57%.