Casa Pia vs FC Porto prediction

So far in the Primeira Liga, Casa Pia have won two, drawn one and lost seven of ten, with 5 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 17th place and 7 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, two draws and four defeats, averaging 0.2 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Guimaraes; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Moreirense and a 2-0 defeat away at Gil Vicente.

Casa Pia haven't won in six. They failed to score in five of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 9 conceded).

FC Porto have won ten, drawn none and lost none of their ten Primeira Liga games so far, scoring 25 and letting in 4. That has them 1st on 30 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, no draws and one defeat, at 1.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Manchester City at home; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Moreirense and a 3-0 win away at Academico Viseu.

Four clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 0 conceded).

Home and away form points to FC Porto: Casa Pia have won none of their last three at home, FC Porto two of their last two on the road. 23 points separate the two sides in the table. FC Porto also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make FC Porto clear favourites at 74%, with Casa Pia on 10% and the draw at 16%.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 0.7 for Casa Pia and 1.9 for FC Porto. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 41%. When they last met, on 2 Feb 2026, Casa Pia won 2-1.