PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II prediction

So far in the Eredivisie, PSV Eindhoven have won seven, drawn two and lost two of 11, with 35 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 3rd place and 23 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Feyenoord; before that came a 1-0 win away at Porto and a 2-1 defeat away at ADO Den Haag.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 1 conceded). A. Nagalo (injury), A. Plea (surgery) and J. Schouten (knee injury), plus three others, are all unavailable.

Willem II have won none, drawn two and lost nine of their 11 Eredivisie games so far, scoring 10 and letting in 39. That has them 18th on 2 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, no draws and five defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 3.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Helmond Sport 4-3 away; before that came a 6-1 defeat at home to Cambuur and a 3-2 defeat away at Sparta Rotterdam.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of four recently (8 scored, 14 conceded). A. Lachkar (groin injury), J. Hoogma (knee injury) and J. Slory (red card) are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to PSV Eindhoven: PSV Eindhoven have won one of their last two at home, Willem II one of their last four on the road. 21 points separate the two sides in the table. PSV Eindhoven also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make PSV Eindhoven clear favourites at 84%, with Willem II on 4% and the draw at 11%.

On goals, it expects around 4.6 in the game: 3.8 for PSV Eindhoven and 0.8 for Willem II. Over 2.5 goals is 84% and both teams scoring 53%. Their last meeting, on 8 Feb 2025, finished 1-1.