Porthmadog vs Llanuwchllyn prediction

Porthmadog have won seven, drawn three and lost three of their 13 FAW Championship games so far, scoring 20 and letting in 14. That has them 4th on 24 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Guilsfield; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Brickfield Rangers and a 4-0 defeat away at GAP Connah S Quay FC.

Porthmadog haven't won in three. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won one of two recently (1 scored, 1 conceded).

So far in the FAW Championship, Llanuwchllyn have won four, drawn two and lost six of 12, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded, good for 12th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 3.5 against. Last time out they lost 4-3 to Denbigh Town at home; before that came a 3-3 draw at home to Bala Town and a 7-0 defeat away at Newtown AFC.

Llanuwchllyn haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 8 conceded).

Home and away form points to Porthmadog: Porthmadog have won one of their last two at home, Llanuwchllyn none of their last two on the road. Ten points separate the two sides in the table. Porthmadog also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Porthmadog favourites at 50%, with Llanuwchllyn on 32% and the draw at 18%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.5 in the game: 2.0 for Porthmadog and 1.5 for Llanuwchllyn. Over 2.5 goals is 66% and both teams scoring 63%.