Ajax vs Willem II prediction

So far in the Eredivisie, Ajax have won seven, drawn three and lost one of 11, with 30 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 2nd place and 24 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 2.3 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat For Sittard 5-1 away; before that came a 3-1 defeat at home to PSV and a 4-0 win away at Telstar.

They have scored in each of their last five. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won none of two recently (3 scored, 5 conceded).

Willem II have won none, drawn two and lost nine of their 11 Eredivisie games so far, scoring 10 and letting in 39. That has them 18th on 2 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with AZ Alkmaar; before that came a 3-0 defeat at home to Excelsior and a 2-2 draw at home to Heerenveen.

Willem II haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 5 conceded).

There isn't much between Ajax's home form and Willem II's away form. 22 points separate the two sides in the table. Ajax also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Ajax clear favourites at 79%, with Willem II on 6% and the draw at 15%.

On goals, it expects around 3.7 in the game: 2.8 for Ajax and 0.9 for Willem II. Over 2.5 goals is 71% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 13 Apr 2025, Ajax won 2-1.