Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town prediction

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Pontardawe Town away; before that came a 3-1 defeat at home to Caerphilly Athletic and a 5-4 defeat at home to Newport City.

Carmarthen Town haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won none of three recently (6 scored, 10 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Trethomas Bluebirds 2-1 at home; before that came a 5-1 win at home to Prestatyn Town and a 1-0 defeat at home to Caerau (Ely).

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won two of two recently (6 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Aberystwyth Town: Carmarthen Town have won none of their last three at home, Aberystwyth Town two of their last two on the road. Aberystwyth Town also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Aberystwyth Town favourites at 48%, with Carmarthen Town on 34% and the draw at 18%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 1.5 for Carmarthen Town and 1.8 for Aberystwyth Town. Over 2.5 goals is 61% and both teams scoring 60%. Their last meeting, on 1 Jan 2026, finished 1-1.