Amadora vs Benfica prediction

So far in the Primeira Liga, Amadora have won two, drawn four and lost four of ten, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 12th place and 10 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Moreirense away; before that came a 2-0 defeat at home to Casa Pia and a 2-1 win away at Fazendense.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 4 conceded).

Benfica have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their ten Primeira Liga games so far, scoring 27 and letting in 8. That has them 2nd on 25 points.

Their last six in all competitions read six wins, no draws and no defeats, at 2.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Alverca 1-0 at home; before that came a 4-1 win at home to Gil Vicente and a 2-1 win away at Santa Clara.

Benfica are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of two recently (6 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Benfica: Amadora have won none of their last two at home, Benfica two of their last two on the road. 15 points separate the two sides in the table. Benfica also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Benfica clear favourites at 76%, with Amadora on 9% and the draw at 15%.

On goals, it expects around 3.5 in the game: 0.6 for Amadora and 2.9 for Benfica. Over 2.5 goals is 68% and both teams scoring 48%. When they last met, on 25 Jan 2026, Benfica won 4-0.