Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama prediction

So far in the Serie A, Botafogo have won ten, drawn nine and lost 14 of 33, with 45 goals scored and 53 conceded, good for 12th place and 39 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Mirassol away; before that came a 3-2 win at home to Gremio and a 1-1 draw at home to Bragantino.

They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won one of four recently (6 scored, 6 conceded).

Vasco da Gama have won ten, drawn eight and lost 14 of their 32 Serie A games so far, scoring 40 and letting in 49. That has them 13th on 38 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Coritiba 5-0 at home; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Santa Fe and a 2-1 win away at Gremio.

Vasco da Gama are unbeaten in four. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 2 conceded).

There isn't much between Botafogo's home form and Vasco da Gama's away form. One point separates the two sides in the table. Vasco da Gama also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Vasco da Gama favourites at 46%, with Botafogo on 30% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.3 in the game: 1.0 for Botafogo and 1.3 for Vasco da Gama. Over 2.5 goals is 40% and both teams scoring 46%. When they last met, on 5 Apr 2026, Botafogo RJ won 2-1.