Pro Patria vs Pistoiese prediction

Pro Patria have won six, drawn two and lost two of their ten Serie D - Girone D games so far, scoring 14 and letting in 7. That has them 3rd on 20 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Pavia away; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Leon and a 1-1 draw at home to Correggese.

Pro Patria haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. At home they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 1 conceded).

So far in the Serie D - Girone D, Pistoiese have won nine, drawn none and lost one of ten, with 24 goals scored and 5 conceded, good for 1st place and 27 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 1.7 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat Castellanzese 4-2 at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Cittadella Vis Modena and a 1-0 win at home to Pavia.

They have scored in each of their last four. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Pro Patria: Pro Patria have won one of their last two at home, Pistoiese one of their last three on the road. Seven points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Pistoiese favourites at 38%, with Pro Patria on 31% and the draw at 31%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.1 for Pro Patria and 1.5 for Pistoiese. Over 2.5 goals is 46% and both teams scoring 50%.