Lorient vs Paris prediction

Lorient have won three, drawn three and lost three of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 7 and letting in 8. That has them 11th on 12 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Le Mans away; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Toulouse and a 1-0 win away at Lens.

They have scored in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 6 conceded).

So far in the Ligue 1, Paris have won five, drawn two and lost two of nine, with 16 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 4th place and 17 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, two draws and no defeats, averaging 1.7 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they beat Strasbourg 2-1 at home; before that came a goalless draw at home to Lyon and a 3-2 win away at Marseille.

Paris are unbeaten in six. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Paris: Lorient have won none of their last three at home, Paris one of their last two on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Paris also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Lorient favourites at 36%, with Paris on 34% and the draw at 30%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.3 for Lorient and 1.3 for Paris. Over 2.5 goals is 47% and both teams scoring 52%. Their last meeting, on 5 Apr 2026, finished 1-1.