Paris vs Lyon prediction

So far in the Ligue 1, Paris have won five, drawn two and lost two of nine, with 16 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 4th place and 17 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat Marseille 3-2 away; before that came a 3-0 win at home to Nice and a goalless draw away at Troyes.

Paris are unbeaten in four. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (9 scored, 1 conceded).

Lyon have won five, drawn two and lost two of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 7. That has them 3rd on 17 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Auxerre 3-1 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Le Havre and a 2-0 win away at Toulouse.

Lyon are unbeaten in three. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Paris: Paris have won three of their last three at home, Lyon one of their last two on the road. The two sides are level on points. Paris also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Paris favourites at 45%, with Lyon on 31% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.5 for Paris and 1.5 for Lyon. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 60%. Their last meeting, on 8 Mar 2026, finished 1-1.