Ogre United vs Riga prediction

Ogre United have won four, drawn seven and lost 24 of their 35 Virsliga games so far, scoring 34 and letting in 85. That has them 10th on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-1 to Auda at home; before that came a 3-2 defeat away at Grobiņa and a 2-1 defeat at home to BFC Daugavpils.

Ogre United haven't won in three. They have scored in each of their last four. At home they've won one of four recently (5 scored, 8 conceded).

So far in the Virsliga, Riga have won 26, drawn seven and lost two of 35, with 95 goals scored and 32 conceded, good for 2nd place and 85 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, two draws and no defeats, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Grobiņa 5-2 away; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Pafos and a 2-1 win at home to Super Nova.

Riga are unbeaten in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won three of four recently (10 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Riga: Ogre United have won one of their last four at home, Riga three of their last four on the road. 66 points separate the two sides in the table. Riga also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Riga clear favourites at 78%, with Ogre United on 7% and the draw at 15%.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 0.9 for Ogre United and 2.5 for Riga. Over 2.5 goals is 64% and both teams scoring 53%. When they last met, on 9 Aug 2026, Riga won 4-1.