Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2 prediction

Gimnasia La Plata Res. have won two, drawn two and lost four of their eight Reserve League games so far, scoring 7 and letting in 7. That has them 28th on 8 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Barracas Central Res. away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Talleres Córdoba Res. and a 1-0 defeat away at Banfield Res..

Gimnasia La Plata Res. haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the Reserve League, Gimnasia Mendoza 2 have won four, drawn four and lost none of eight, with 6 goals scored and 2 conceded, good for 7th place and 16 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, four draws and no defeats, averaging 0.5 goals for and 0.2 against. Last time out they beat Unión Santa Fe Res. 1-0 at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Atlético Tucumán Res. and a goalless draw at home to Godoy Cruz Res..

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 are unbeaten in six. Five clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won one of three recently (1 scored, 0 conceded).

There isn't much between Gimnasia La Plata Res.'s home form and Gimnasia Mendoza 2's away form. Eight points separate the two sides in the table. Gimnasia Mendoza 2 also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Gimnasia La Plata Res. favourites at 39%, with Gimnasia Mendoza 2 on 27% and the draw at 33%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Gimnasia La Plata Res. still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.2 for Gimnasia La Plata Res. and 1.1 for Gimnasia Mendoza 2. Over 2.5 goals is 42% and both teams scoring 47%.