Athletic vs Atleti prediction

So far in the La Liga, Athletic have won four, drawn three and lost three of ten, with 14 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 7th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they beat Celta 2-0 away; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Barcelona and a 3-1 defeat at home to Sevilla.

They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

Atleti have won nine, drawn one and lost one of their 11 La Liga games so far, scoring 22 and letting in 8. That has them 2nd on 28 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Sevilla 3-1 away; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Villarreal and a 2-0 win at home to Malaga.

Atleti are unbeaten in three. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 7 conceded).

Home and away form points to Atleti: Athletic have won none of their last two at home, Atleti two of their last three on the road. 13 points separate the two sides in the table. Atleti also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Atleti favourites at 40%, with Athletic on 33% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.3 for Athletic and 1.5 for Atleti. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 57%. When they last met, on 25 Apr 2026, Atletico Madrid won 3-2.