Altona 93 vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04 prediction

Altona 93 have won seven, drawn three and lost three of their 13 Oberliga - Hamburg games so far, scoring 34 and letting in 28. That has them 6th on 24 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 2.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat HT16 2-1 away; before that came a 3-2 defeat at home to Niendorfer TSV and a 2-2 draw away at Paloma.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 6 conceded).

So far in the Oberliga - Hamburg, Vorwärts-Wacker 04 have won seven, drawn four and lost three of 14, with 34 goals scored and 28 conceded, good for 5th place and 25 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 4.0 goals for and 2.5 against. Last time out they drew 4-4 with Buchholz; before that came a 5-4 win away at ETSV Hamburg and a 5-2 win at home to Concordia.

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 are unbeaten in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. On the road they've won three of three recently (13 scored, 5 conceded).

Home and away form points to Vorwärts-Wacker 04: Altona 93 have won one of their last three at home, Vorwärts-Wacker 04 three of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Vorwärts-Wacker 04 also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Altona 93 favourites at 47%, with Vorwärts-Wacker 04 on 33% and the draw at 20%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Altona 93 still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 4.2 in the game: 2.1 for Altona 93 and 2.1 for Vorwärts-Wacker 04. Over 2.5 goals is 73% and both teams scoring 67%.