Atalanta vs Cagliari prediction

So far in the Serie A, Atalanta have won three, drawn two and lost five of ten, with 16 goals scored and 20 conceded, good for 13th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Roma away; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Bologna and a 2-1 win at home to Sassuolo.

They have scored in each of their last four. At home they've won two of three recently (3 scored, 2 conceded).

Cagliari have won four, drawn one and lost five of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 9 and letting in 15. That has them 12th on 13 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Lecce 1-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Inter Milan and a 1-0 win away at Parma.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won two of two recently (3 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Cagliari: Atalanta have won two of their last three at home, Cagliari two of their last two on the road. Two points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Atalanta favourites at 53%, with Cagliari on 19% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Atalanta still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.7 for Atalanta and 1.0 for Cagliari. Over 2.5 goals is 49% and both teams scoring 50%. When they last met, on 27 Apr 2026, Cagliari won 3-2.