Birmingham vs QPR prediction, 17 October 2026

Birmingham

Saturday, 17 October 2026

30Half time 1 : 0Championship

QPR

Millar 27′, 49′
Gray 90+1′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

50.6%Birmingham

25.0%Draw

24.5%QPR

Double chance

Birmingham or draw76%

Either team wins75%

QPR or draw49%

1.7Birmingham2.8expected goals1.1QPR

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.594%6%

1.577%23%

2.553%47%

3.531%69%

4.515%85%

Both teams to score

Yes54%No46%

GG2+

No85%Yes15%

Team total goals

OverBirminghamQPR

0.582%66%

1.551%29%

2.524%10%

Clean sheet

Birmingham34%QPR18%

Win to nil

Birmingham27%QPR12%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw25%

WinsBirminghamQPR

by 123%15%

by 215%6%

by 3+13%3%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals23%2-3 goals46%4-5 goals24%6+ goals6%

Match preview · Championship

Birmingham vs QPR: preview and prediction

17 Oct 2026 · 15:00St. Andrew's StadiumThomas Kirk

Birmingham welcome QPR to St. Andrew's Stadium in Birmingham on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 15:00. It's matchday 11 in the Championship. Birmingham go into it 6th in the table after 13 games, with QPR 9th. Last time out Birmingham beat Preston 4-0 at home, and QPR beat Derby 4-1 at home. Birmingham haven't lost any of their last three at home.

The forecast

51%Birmingham25%Draw24%QPR

Expected goals1.7-1.1Over 2.5 goals53%Both teams score54%

FormBirminghamHome and awayBirminghamThe tableBirminghamGoalsBirminghamHead to headEvenTeam newsBirmingham

Birmingham: form and key numbers

Birmingham have won six, drawn five and lost two of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 23 and letting in 13. That has them 6th on 23 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Preston 4-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at West Bromwich Albion and a 2-2 draw at home to Middlesbrough.

Birmingham are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of three recently (8 scored, 4 conceded). M. Leonard (achilles tendon injury) and Paik Seung-Ho (health problems) both miss out.

BirminghamLast 6 · 3W 2D 1L

13 OctHPreston4-0W
10 OctAWest Bromwich Albion1-0W
19 SeptHMiddlesbrough2-2D
12 SeptADerby2-1W
9 SeptANorwich1-2L
6 SeptHWolverhampton Wanderers2-2D

2.0scored a game1.2conceded a game1.8points a game

At home · last 3WDD

Birmingham: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

QPR: form and key numbers

So far in the Championship, QPR have won five, drawn five and lost three of 13, with 21 goals scored and 16 conceded, good for 9th place and 20 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, four draws and one defeat, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Derby 4-1 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at West Ham United and a 2-2 draw at home to Preston.

QPR are unbeaten in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 2 conceded). A. S. Mbengue (knee injury), D. Cirkin (red card) and I. Chair (muscle injury), plus five others, are all unavailable.

QPRLast 6 · 1W 4D 1L

14 OctHDerby4-1W
9 OctAWest Ham United1-1D
19 SeptHPreston2-2D
12 SeptAWest Bromwich Albion1-1D
9 SeptACharlton0-0D
5 SeptHMiddlesbrough0-1L

1.3scored a game1.0conceded a game1.2points a game

Away · last 3DDD

QPR: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Birmingham vs QPR: match analysis

Home and away form points to Birmingham: Birmingham have won one of their last three at home, QPR none of their last three on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Birmingham also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
5	Southampton	13	8	3	2	+15	23
6	Birmingham	13	6	5	2	+10	23
7	Stoke City	13	7	2	4	+4	23
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	+15	22
9	QPR	13	5	5	3	+5	20
10	Sheffield Utd	13	5	4	4	+2	19

We make Birmingham clear favourites at 51%, with QPR on 24% and the draw at 25%.

Goals, recent and expected

2.0Scored a game1.3
1.2Conceded a game1.0
1.7Expected here (xG)1.1

Over 1.577%Over 2.553%Over 3.531%Both score54%

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.7 for Birmingham and 1.1 for QPR. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 11 Mar 2026, Birmingham won 1-0.

Last meetings