Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán prediction
Leones Negros UDG
Sunday, 1 November 2026
3:1Half time 2 : 1Liga de Expansión MX
Tepatitlán
- Sergio Hernandez 16′
- Óscar Gil 45+2′
- Leonardo Sepulveda 89′
- Dieter Villalpando 22′
Pre-match prediction
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Total goals
Both teams to score
GG2+
Team total goals
Clean sheet
Win to nil
Odd or even goals
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Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán: preview and prediction
Leones Negros UDG welcome Tepatitlán to Estadio Jalisco in Guadalajara on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 18:00. It's matchday 15 in the Liga de Expansión MX. Leones Negros UDG go into it 2nd in the table after 15 games, with Tepatitlán 16th, 14 places lower. Last time out Leones Negros UDG won 2-0 away at Mineros de Zacatecas, and Tepatitlán lost 4-0 at home to Cancún.
Leones Negros UDG: form and key numbers
So far in the Liga de Expansión MX, Leones Negros UDG have won nine, drawn three and lost three of 15, with 34 goals scored and 20 conceded, good for 2nd place and 30 points.
Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they beat Mineros de Zacatecas 2-0 away; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Alebrijes de Oaxaca and a 1-1 draw away at Venados FC.
They have scored in each of their last five. At home they've won one of two recently (7 scored, 5 conceded).
- AMineros de Zacatecas2-0W
- HAlebrijes de Oaxaca1-2L
- AVenados FC1-1D
- HDorados6-3W
- ACruz Azul Hidalgo2-1W
- AMonarcas0-2L
Leones Negros UDG: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Tepatitlán: form and key numbers
Tepatitlán have won two, drawn one and lost 12 of their 15 Liga de Expansión MX games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 44. That has them 16th on 7 points.
Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-0 to Cancún at home; before that came a 3-0 defeat away at Piratas and a 4-1 defeat away at Tapatío.
Tepatitlán haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 7 conceded).
- HCancún0-4L
- APiratas0-3L
- ATapatío1-4L
- HMonarcas1-1D
- HCDS Tampico Madero3-1W
- HMineros de Zacatecas0-1L
Tepatitlán: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán: match analysis
Home and away form points to Leones Negros UDG: Leones Negros UDG have won one of their last two at home, Tepatitlán none of their last two on the road. 23 points separate the two sides in the table. Leones Negros UDG also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 | Atlético Morelia | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 26 |
| ··· | |||||||
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | -33 | 7 |
We make Leones Negros UDG clear favourites at 81%, with Tepatitlán on 6% and the draw at 13%.
- 2.00.8
- 1.52.3
- 2.80.9
On goals, it expects around 3.8 in the game: 2.8 for Leones Negros UDG and 0.9 for Tepatitlán. Over 2.5 goals is 72% and both teams scoring 56%.
Backed by form, home and away records, the table and goal difference.
Every market at a glance
- ResultLeones Negros UDG win81%
- Double chanceLeones Negros UDG or draw94%
- GoalsOver 2.572%
- Both teams to scoreYes56%
- Clean sheetLeones Negros UDG40%
- CornersLeones Negros UDG 6.1 · Tepatitlán 4.110.2 expected
- Cards4.1 yellows expectedRed 15%
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Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán