Sporting CP vs CD Nacional prediction, 5 September 2026

Sporting CP

Saturday, 5 September 2026

20Half time 1 : 0Primeira Liga

CD Nacional

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

83.2%Sporting CP

12.0%Draw

4.8%CD Nacional

Double chance

Sporting CP or draw95%

Either team wins88%

CD Nacional or draw17%

2.5Sporting CP3.2expected goals0.7CD Nacional

Most likely scorelines

2 - 0

13.4%Estimated chance of this exact score · high conviction

Other likely scores

3 - 010.5%

1 - 010.1%

2 - 19.4%

3 - 17.2%

1 - 17.0%

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.596%4%

1.584%16%

2.562%38%

3.540%60%

4.522%78%

Both teams to score

Yes46%No54%

Team total goals

OverSporting CPCD Nacional

0.593%50%

1.573%15%

2.546%3%

Clean sheet

Sporting CP50%CD Nacional7%

Win to nil

Sporting CP47%CD Nacional4%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw14%

WinsSporting CPCD Nacional

by 123%5%

by 223%2%

by 3+33%0%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals16%2-3 goals44%4-5 goals29%6+ goals11%

Match preview · Primeira Liga

Sporting CP vs CD Nacional: preview and prediction

5 Sept 2026 · 20:30J. Pinheiro

Sporting CP take on CD Nacional on Saturday 5 September (20:30). Sporting CP go into it 3rd in the table after ten games, with CD Nacional 15th, 12 places lower. Last time out Sporting CP won 4-0 away at Rio Ave, and CD Nacional lost 3-2 at home to Estrela. Sporting CP haven't lost any of their last three at home.

The forecast

83%Sporting CP12%Draw5%CD Nacional

Expected goals2.5-0.7Over 2.5 goals62%Both teams score46%Likeliest scores2-013%3-011%1-010%

FormSporting CPHome and awaySporting CPThe tableSporting CPGoalsSporting CPHead to headSporting CP

Sporting CP: form and key numbers

Sporting CP have won six, drawn three and lost one of their ten Primeira Liga games so far, scoring 23 and letting in 11. That has them 3rd on 21 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, one draw and no defeats, at 3.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Rio Ave 4-0 away; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Alverca and a 3-2 win at home to Guimaraes.

Sporting CP are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (9 scored, 3 conceded).

Sporting CPLast 6 · 5W 1D 0L

28 AugARio Ave4-0W
22 AugHAlverca3-1W
14 AugHGuimaraes3-2W
8 AugAEstrela2-2D
16 MayHGil Vicente3-0W
11 MayARio Ave4-1W

3.2scored a game1.0conceded a game2.7points a game

At home · last 3WWW

Sporting CP: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

CD Nacional: form and key numbers

So far in the Primeira Liga, CD Nacional have won two, drawn one and lost seven of ten, with 10 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 15th place and 7 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Estrela at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Guimaraes and a 2-0 win at home to Estoril.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 5 conceded).

CD NacionalLast 6 · 2W 1D 3L

30 AugHEstrela2-3L
23 AugAGuimaraes0-1L
16 AugHEstoril2-0W
10 AugASanta Clara2-2D
16 MayHGuimaraes2-0W
11 MayASanta Clara0-2L

1.3scored a game1.3conceded a game1.2points a game

Away · last 3LDL

CD Nacional: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Sporting CP vs CD Nacional: match analysis

Home and away form points to Sporting CP: Sporting CP have won three of their last three at home, CD Nacional none of their last three on the road. 14 points separate the two sides in the table. Sporting CP also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
2	SL Benfica	9	7	1	1	+18	22
3	Sporting CP	10	6	3	1	+12	21
4	Santa Clara	10	6	3	1	+9	21
···
14	Marítimo	10	2	2	6	-12	8
15	CD Nacional	10	2	1	7	-9	7
16	Rio Ave	10	2	1	7	-14	7

We make Sporting CP clear favourites at 83%, with CD Nacional on 5% and the draw at 12%.

Goals, recent and expected

3.2Scored a game1.3
1.0Conceded a game1.3
2.5Expected here (xG)0.7

Over 1.584%Over 2.562%Over 3.540%Both score46%

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 2.5 for Sporting CP and 0.7 for CD Nacional. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 46%. When they last met, on 1 Feb 2026, Sp Lisbon won 2-1.

Last meetings

1 Feb 2026Sp Lisbon2-1Nacional
23 Aug 2025Nacional1-4Sp Lisbon
25 Jan 2025Sp Lisbon2-0Nacional
17 Aug 2024Nacional1-6Sp Lisbon
1 May 2021Sp Lisbon2-0Nacional

Punt-X prediction

Sporting CP to win83%

Backed by form, home and away records, the table, goal difference and head to head.

Every market at a glance

ResultSporting CP win83%
Double chanceSporting CP or draw95%
GoalsOver 2.562%
Both teams to scoreNo54%
Clean sheetSporting CP50%
Correct score2-013%
CornersSporting CP 7.2 · CD Nacional 3.010.2 expected
Cards3.7 yellows expectedRed 26%

Frequently asked questions

Sporting CP vs CD Nacional

Sporting CP vs CD Nacional prediction

Sporting CP

CD Nacional

Total goals

Both teams to score

Team total goals

Clean sheet

Win to nil

Odd or even goals

Winning margin

Total goal bands

Sporting CP: form and key numbers

CD Nacional: form and key numbers

Sporting CP vs CD Nacional: match analysis

Every market at a glance

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