Ozgon vs Kara-Balta prediction

Ozgon have won 18, drawn two and lost eight of their 28 Premier League games so far, scoring 58 and letting in 35. That has them 5th on 56 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Muras United 2-0 away; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Alga and a 1-0 win at home to Asia Talas.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Premier League, Kara-Balta have won one, drawn seven and lost 20 of 28, with 20 goals scored and 74 conceded, good for 16th place and 10 points.

Over the last five matches it has been no wins, two draws and three defeats, averaging 0.2 goals for and 2.2 against. Last time out they lost 4-0 to Alay at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Ilbirs and a 2-0 defeat at home to Neftchi.

Kara-Balta haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in four of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Ozgon: Ozgon have won two of their last three at home, Kara-Balta none of their last two on the road. 46 points separate the two sides in the table. Ozgon also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Ozgon clear favourites at 71%, with Kara-Balta on 11% and the draw at 18%.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 2.5 for Ozgon and 0.9 for Kara-Balta. Over 2.5 goals is 64% and both teams scoring 51%.