NEC vs UPDF prediction

NEC have won six, drawn two and lost one of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 18 and letting in 5. That has them 3rd on 20 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Blacks Power 1-0 away; before that came a 5-1 win at home to Ntugasaze and a 2-1 defeat away at BUL.

They have scored in each of their last four. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (9 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Premier League, UPDF have won two, drawn two and lost four of eight, with 4 goals scored and 7 conceded, good for 12th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.5 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Kitara at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to URA and a 2-0 defeat at home to BUL.

UPDF haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank four times. On the road they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 1 conceded).

There isn't much between NEC's home form and UPDF's away form. 12 points separate the two sides in the table. NEC also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make NEC clear favourites at 64%, with UPDF on 11% and the draw at 25%.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 2.0 for NEC and 0.6 for UPDF. Over 2.5 goals is 50% and both teams scoring 43%. When they last met, on 3 Mar 2026, NEC won 1-0.