Venados vs Atlético Morelia prediction
Venados
Wednesday, 4 November 2026
21:00Liga de Expansión MX
Atlético Morelia
Who wins?
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Total goals
Both teams to score
GG2+
Team total goals
Clean sheet
Win to nil
Odd or even goals
Winning margin
Total goal bands
Venados vs Atlético Morelia: preview and prediction
Venados welcome Atlético Morelia to Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero on Wednesday 4 November, with kick-off at 21:00. It's the quarter-finals of the Liga de Expansión MX. Venados go into it 6th in the table after 15 games, with Atlético Morelia 3rd. Last time out Venados drew 0-0 at Correcaminos Uat, and Atlético Morelia were beaten 3-1 at Durango. Venados haven't lost any of their last three at home.
Venados: form and key numbers
So far in the Liga de Expansión MX, Venados have won seven, drawn four and lost four of 15, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded, good for 6th place and 25 points.
Over the last six matches it has been three wins, three draws and no defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Correcaminos Uat; before that came a 3-2 win at home to Durango and a 1-1 draw away at Cancún.
Venados are unbeaten in six. At home they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 4 conceded).
- ACorrecaminos Uat0-0D
- HDurango3-2W
- ACancún1-1D
- HLeones Negros UDG1-1D
- ACA La Paz2-1W
- HMonarcas2-1W
Venados: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Atlético Morelia: form and key numbers
Atlético Morelia have won eight, drawn two and lost five of their 15 Liga de Expansión MX games so far, scoring 26 and letting in 19. That has them 3rd on 26 points.
Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Durango away; before that came a 2-1 win away at Tapatío and a 2-1 defeat at home to CDS Tampico Madero.
The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of four recently (5 scored, 7 conceded).
- ADurango1-3L
- ATapatío2-1W
- HCDS Tampico Madero1-2L
- ATepatitlán1-1D
- HTlaxcala1-1D
- AVenados FC1-2L
Atlético Morelia: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Venados vs Atlético Morelia: match analysis
Home and away form points to Venados: Venados have won two of their last three at home, Atlético Morelia one of their last four on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Venados also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 | Atlético Morelia | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +12 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancún | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 | Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 24 |
We make Venados favourites at 48%, with Atlético Morelia on 28% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.
- 1.51.2
- 1.01.7
- 1.91.2
On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.9 for Venados and 1.2 for Atlético Morelia. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 56%. When they last met, on 26 Sept 2026, Venados FC won 2-1.
- Venados FC2-1Monarcas
Their recent games have averaged 2.7 goals.
Every market at a glance
- ResultVenados win48%
- Double chanceEither team wins76%
- GoalsOver 2.558%
- Both teams to scoreYes56%
- Clean sheetVenados33%
- CornersVenados 5.6 · Atlético Morelia 4.39.9 expected
- Cards4.2 yellows expectedRed 15%
Frequently asked questions
Venados vs Atlético Morelia
Following Home win, Over 2.5 goals, Both teams to score · yes