Birmingham vs Millwall prediction

Birmingham have won six, drawn five and lost two of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 23 and letting in 13. That has them 6th on 23 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Lincoln 3-1 away; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Cardiff and a 3-0 win at home to Queens Park Rangers.

Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (9 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Championship, Millwall have won five, drawn three and lost five of 13, with 23 goals scored and 21 conceded, good for 12th place and 18 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Derby 4-1 at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Portsmouth and a 2-2 draw at home to Lincoln.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Birmingham: Birmingham have won two of their last three at home, Millwall one of their last two on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Birmingham also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Birmingham favourites at 50%, with Millwall on 24% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.7 for Birmingham and 1.2 for Millwall. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 25 Feb 2026, Millwall won 3-0.