Northern Ireland vs Georgia prediction, 5 October 2026

Northern Ireland

Monday, 5 October 2026

00Half time 0 : 0UEFA Nations League

Georgia

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

59.4%Northern Ireland

24.0%Draw

16.7%Georgia

Double chance

Northern Ireland or draw83%

Either team wins76%

Georgia or draw41%

1.4Northern Ireland2.2expected goals0.8Georgia

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.589%11%

1.565%35%

2.538%62%

3.518%82%

4.57%93%

Both teams to score

Yes41%No59%

GG2+

No93%Yes7%

Team total goals

OverNorthern IrelandGeorgia

0.576%53%

1.542%18%

2.518%4%

Clean sheet

Northern Ireland47%Georgia24%

Win to nil

Northern Ireland36%Georgia12%

Odd or even goals

Odd49%Even51%

Winning margin

Draw27%

WinsNorthern IrelandGeorgia

by 126%14%

by 216%4%

by 3+11%1%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals35%2-3 goals46%4-5 goals16%6+ goals3%

Match preview · UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland vs Georgia: preview and prediction

5 Oct 2026 · 18:45Windsor ParkSebastian Gishamer

Northern Ireland welcome Georgia to Windsor Park in Belfast on Monday 5 October, with kick-off at 18:45. It's matchday 4 in the UEFA Nations League. Northern Ireland go into it 1st in the table after four games, with Georgia 4th. Last time out Northern Ireland won 3-0 away at Ukraine, and Georgia were beaten 1-0 at Hungary.

The forecast

59%Northern Ireland24%Draw17%Georgia

Expected goals1.4-0.8Over 2.5 goals38%Both teams score41%

FormNorthern IrelandThe tableNorthern IrelandGoalsNorthern IrelandHead to headEven

Northern Ireland: form and key numbers

So far in the UEFA Nations League, Northern Ireland have won two, drawn two and lost none of four, with 4 goals scored and 0 conceded, good for 1st place and 8 points.

Over the last three matches it has been two wins, one draw and no defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 0.0 against. Last time out they beat Ukraine 3-0 away; before that came a goalless draw at home to Hungary and a 1-0 win away at Georgia.

Northern Ireland are unbeaten in three. Three clean sheets in that spell.

Northern IrelandLast 3 · 2W 1D 0L

2 OctAUkraine3-0W
28 SeptHHungary0-0D
25 SeptAGeorgia1-0W

1.3scored a game0.0conceded a game2.3points a game

Northern Ireland: last 3 results in all competitions, newest first.

Georgia: form and key numbers

Georgia have won none, drawn two and lost two of their four UEFA Nations League games so far, scoring 0 and letting in 2. That has them 4th on 2 points.

Their last three in all competitions read no wins, one draw and two defeats, at 0.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Hungary away; before that came a goalless draw at home to Ukraine and a 1-0 defeat at home to Northern Ireland.

Georgia haven't won in three. They failed to score in three of those games.

GeorgiaLast 3 · 0W 1D 2L

2 OctAHungary0-1L
28 SeptHUkraine0-0D
25 SeptHNorthern Ireland0-1L

0.0scored a game0.7conceded a game0.3points a game

Georgia: last 3 results in all competitions, newest first.

Northern Ireland vs Georgia: match analysis

Six points separate the two sides in the table. Northern Ireland also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Northern Ireland	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Hungary	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Ukraine	4	1	1	2	-3	4
4	Georgia	4	0	2	2	-2	2

We make Northern Ireland clear favourites at 59%, with Georgia on 17% and the draw at 24%.

Goals, recent and expected

1.3Scored a game0.0
0.0Conceded a game0.7
1.4Expected here (xG)0.8

Over 1.565%Over 2.538%Over 3.518%Both score41%

On goals, it expects around 2.2 in the game: 1.4 for Northern Ireland and 0.8 for Georgia. Over 2.5 goals is 38% and both teams scoring 41%. When they last met, on 25 Sept 2026, Northern Ireland won 1-0.

Last meetings

25 Sept 2026Georgia0-1Northern Ireland

Punt-X prediction

Under 2.5 goals62%

Their recent games have averaged 1.0 goals.

Every market at a glance

ResultNorthern Ireland win59%
Double chanceNorthern Ireland or draw83%
GoalsUnder 2.562%
Both teams to scoreNo59%
Clean sheetNorthern Ireland47%
CornersNorthern Ireland 5.1 · Georgia 4.19.2 expected
Cards3.8 yellows expectedRed 15%

Frequently asked questions

Northern Ireland vs Georgia

Northern Ireland vs Georgia prediction