Basconia vs Amorebieta prediction

So far in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, Basconia have won two, drawn five and lost two of nine, with 13 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 11th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, four draws and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Compostela; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Portugalete and a 3-1 defeat away at Racing Santander II.

Basconia haven't won in five. At home they've won none of two recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Amorebieta have won five, drawn one and lost three of their nine Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 8. That has them 5th on 16 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Gimnástica Torrelavega 1-0 at home; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Coruxo and a 2-1 win away at Gernika.

Amorebieta are unbeaten in three. They have scored in each of their last five. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of two recently (3 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Amorebieta: Basconia have won none of their last two at home, Amorebieta two of their last two on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Amorebieta also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Basconia favourites at 47%, with Amorebieta on 27% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Basconia still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.7 for Basconia and 1.2 for Amorebieta. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 22 Feb 2026, Basconia won 2-1.