Libertad vs Emelec prediction

Libertad have won 14, drawn nine and lost 12 of their 35 Liga Pro games so far, scoring 43 and letting in 39. That has them 1st on 51 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Guayaquil City FC; before that came a 4-1 defeat away at Leones del Norte and a 4-0 win at home to Guayaquil City FC.

Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (9 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the Liga Pro, Emelec have won 11, drawn nine and lost 15 of 35, with 31 goals scored and 43 conceded, good for 4th place and 42 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, no draws and five defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Leones del Norte at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Guayaquil City FC and a 3-1 win away at Leones del Norte.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 5 conceded).

Home and away form points to Libertad: Libertad have won two of their last three at home, Emelec one of their last three on the road. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. Libertad also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Libertad favourites at 49%, with Emelec on 21% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.5 for Libertad and 0.9 for Emelec. Over 2.5 goals is 44% and both teams scoring 47%. When they last met, on 20 Sept 2026, Libertad won 2-1.