Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv prediction

So far in the First League, Botev Vratsa have won two, drawn four and lost seven of 13, with 10 goals scored and 22 conceded, good for 11th place and 10 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Cherno More Varna away; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Lokomotiv Sofia and a 2-1 win away at Fratria.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won two, drawn three and lost eight of their 13 First League games so far, scoring 6 and letting in 17. That has them 12th on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Ludogorets at home; before that came a goalless draw at home to Slavia Sofia and a 1-0 win away at Cherno More Varna.

Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 1 conceded).

One point separates the two sides in the table. Lokomotiv Plovdiv also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Botev Vratsa favourites at 45%, with Lokomotiv Plovdiv on 22% and the draw at 33%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Botev Vratsa still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.2 in the game: 1.3 for Botev Vratsa and 1.0 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Over 2.5 goals is 37% and both teams scoring 43%. When they last met, on 22 Mar 2026, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 2-1.