Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction, 31 October 2026

Chelsea

Saturday, 31 October 2026

20Half time 0 : 0Premier League

Manchester United

Rogers 50′
Palmer (P) 64′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

49.7%Chelsea

24.8%Draw

25.4%Manchester United

Double chance

Chelsea or draw75%

Either team wins75%

Manchester United or draw50%

1.7Chelsea2.9expected goals1.2Manchester United

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.594%6%

1.578%22%

2.555%45%

3.533%67%

4.517%83%

Both teams to score

Yes56%No44%

GG2+

No83%Yes17%

Team total goals

OverChelseaManchester United

0.581%69%

1.551%33%

2.525%12%

Clean sheet

Chelsea31%Manchester United19%

Win to nil

Chelsea26%Manchester United13%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw25%

WinsChelseaManchester United

by 123%15%

by 215%7%

by 3+12%3%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals22%2-3 goals45%4-5 goals25%6+ goals7%

Match preview · Premier League

Chelsea vs Manchester United: preview and prediction

31 Oct 2026 · 12:30Stamford BridgePeter Bankes

Chelsea welcome Manchester United to Stamford Bridge in London on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 12:30. It's matchday 9 in the Premier League. Chelsea go into it 4th in the table after nine games, with Manchester United 17th, 13 places lower. Last time out Chelsea drew 1-1 at Liverpool, and Manchester United lost 3-0 at home to Bournemouth. Manchester United are still waiting for a win on the road, with none in their last four away games.

The forecast

50%Chelsea25%Draw25%Manchester United

Expected goals1.7-1.2Over 2.5 goals55%Both teams score56%

FormChelseaHome and awayChelseaThe tableChelseaGoalsChelseaHead to headManchester UnitedTeam newsManchester United

Chelsea: form and key numbers

Chelsea have won five, drawn one and lost three of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 19 and letting in 15. That has them 4th on 16 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Liverpool; before that came a 2-0 defeat at home to Tottenham Hotspur and a 2-0 win away at Everton.

They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (7 scored, 5 conceded). A. Anselmino (injury), E. Martinez (broken jawbone) and J. Gittens (ankle injury), plus six others, are all unavailable.

ChelseaLast 6 · 2W 2D 2L

28 OctALiverpool1-1D
24 OctHTottenham Hotspur0-2L
17 OctAEverton2-0W
10 OctHBournemouth5-1W
18 SeptABrentford0-3L
12 SeptHHull2-2D

1.7scored a game1.5conceded a game1.3points a game

At home · last 3LWD

Chelsea: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Manchester United: form and key numbers

So far in the Premier League, Manchester United have won one, drawn four and lost four of nine, with 10 goals scored and 15 conceded, good for 17th place and 7 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, three draws and three defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Bournemouth at home; before that came a 4-1 defeat away at Como and a 1-1 draw away at Leeds United.

Manchester United haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of four recently (3 scored, 8 conceded). B. Sesko (leg injury), K. Mainoo (injury) and L. Shaw (injury), plus three others, are all unavailable.

Manchester UnitedLast 6 · 0W 3D 3L

25 OctHBournemouth0-3L
21 OctAComo1-4L
18 OctALeeds United1-1D
13 OctAAtletico Madrid0-2L
10 OctHTottenham Hotspur1-1D
20 SeptAFulham1-1D

0.7scored a game2.0conceded a game0.5points a game

Away · last 4LDLD

Manchester United: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Chelsea vs Manchester United: match analysis

Home and away form points to Chelsea: Chelsea have won one of their last three at home, Manchester United none of their last four on the road. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. Chelsea also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	9	6	1	2	+17	19
4	Chelsea	9	5	1	3	+4	16
5	Liverpool	9	4	3	2	+2	15
···
16	Coventry City	9	3	0	6	-7	9
17	Manchester United	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Crystal Palace	9	2	1	6	-12	7

We make Chelsea favourites at 50%, with Manchester United on 25% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

Goals, recent and expected

1.7Scored a game0.7
1.5Conceded a game2.0
1.7Expected here (xG)1.2

Over 1.578%Over 2.555%Over 3.533%Both score56%

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.7 for Chelsea and 1.2 for Manchester United. Over 2.5 goals is 55% and both teams scoring 56%. When they last met, on 18 Apr 2026, Manchester United won 1-0.

Last meetings