Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction

Liverpool have won four, drawn three and lost two of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 9. That has them 5th on 15 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, two draws and no defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Bournemouth 1-0 away; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Tottenham Hotspur and a goalless draw at home to Fulham.

Liverpool are unbeaten in six. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of four recently (7 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Premier League, Manchester City have won seven, drawn none and lost two of nine, with 20 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 2nd place and 21 points.

Over the last six matches it has been six wins, no draws and no defeats, averaging 3.0 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they beat Sunderland 5-3 at home; before that came a 5-0 win at home to Norwich and a 1-0 win away at Manchester United.

Manchester City are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Four clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won three of three recently (7 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Manchester City: Liverpool have won two of their last four at home, Manchester City three of their last three on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table. Manchester City also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Manchester City favourites at 51%, with Liverpool on 26% and the draw at 23%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.3 for Liverpool and 1.8 for Manchester City. Over 2.5 goals is 60% and both teams scoring 61%. When they last met, on 8 Feb 2026, Manchester City won 2-1.