Llanuwchllyn vs Denbigh Town prediction

Llanuwchllyn have won four, drawn two and lost six of their 12 FAW Championship games so far, scoring 23 and letting in 31. That has them 11th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 3.2 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 3-3 with Bala Town; before that came a 7-0 defeat away at Newtown AFC and a 4-1 win at home to Penrhyncoch.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (9 scored, 9 conceded).

So far in the FAW Championship, Denbigh Town have won four, drawn one and lost seven of 12, with 24 goals scored and 26 conceded, good for 12th place and 13 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, no draws and four defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Bangor City 1876 FC at home; before that came a 2-0 win away at Guilsfield and a 4-2 defeat at home to Holyhead Hotspur.

They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 3 conceded).

There isn't much between Llanuwchllyn's home form and Denbigh Town's away form. One point separates the two sides in the table. Denbigh Town also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Denbigh Town favourites at 47%, with Llanuwchllyn on 34% and the draw at 19%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.5 in the game: 2.0 for Llanuwchllyn and 1.6 for Denbigh Town. Over 2.5 goals is 66% and both teams scoring 64%. When they last met, on 14 Dec 2024, Denbigh Town won 7-1.