Stoke City vs Middlesbrough prediction

So far in the Championship, Stoke City have won seven, drawn two and lost four of 13, with 20 goals scored and 16 conceded, good for 7th place and 23 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, one draw and no defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they beat Bolton 2-1 away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Sheffield United and a 2-1 win away at Watford.

Stoke City are unbeaten in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (7 scored, 1 conceded). A. Ampah, A. Cresswell and M. Talovierov, plus two others, are all unavailable.

Middlesbrough have won eight, drawn four and lost one of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 30 and letting in 17. That has them 1st on 28 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 at home; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Birmingham and a 2-2 draw at home to Millwall.

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 5 conceded). A. Jones, D. Strelec and R. Pukstas are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Stoke City: Stoke City have won three of their last three at home, Middlesbrough one of their last three on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Stoke City also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Middlesbrough favourites at 42%, with Stoke City on 34% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.3 for Stoke City and 1.5 for Middlesbrough. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 57%. When they last met, on 21 Jan 2026, Middlesbrough won 2-1.