Mainz vs Frankfurt prediction

So far in the Bundesliga, Mainz have won three, drawn one and lost four of eight, with 17 goals scored and 17 conceded, good for 9th place and 10 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Hamburger SV 5-0 away; before that came a goalless draw at home to Paderborn and a 2-0 win away at 1. FC Heidenheim.

Mainz are unbeaten in three. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 7 conceded).

Frankfurt have won three, drawn two and lost three of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 18. That has them 8th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, three draws and three defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-1 to Augsburg at home; before that came a 3-3 draw away at Union Berlin and a 2-2 draw at home to Stuttgart.

Frankfurt haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won none of three recently (6 scored, 7 conceded).

There isn't much between Mainz's home form and Frankfurt's away form. One point separates the two sides in the table. Mainz also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Mainz clear favourites at 52%, with Frankfurt on 23% and the draw at 25%.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.9 for Mainz and 1.3 for Frankfurt. Over 2.5 goals is 63% and both teams scoring 62%. When they last met, on 22 Mar 2026, 1. FSV Mainz 05 won 2-1.