VfL Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt prediction

So far in the 2. Bundesliga, VfL Wolfsburg have won five, drawn four and lost one of ten, with 25 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 3rd place and 19 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to St Pauli away; before that came a 4-4 draw at home to Cottbus and a 5-2 win away at Karlsruhe.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won none of two recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Darmstadt have won two, drawn three and lost five of their ten 2. Bundesliga games so far, scoring 9 and letting in 19. That has them 16th on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Bielefeld 2-1 at home; before that came a 3-0 defeat away at Kaiserslautern and a 1-0 defeat at home to Hannover 96.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in four of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to VfL Wolfsburg: VfL Wolfsburg have won none of their last two at home, Darmstadt none of their last two on the road. Ten points separate the two sides in the table. VfL Wolfsburg also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make VfL Wolfsburg clear favourites at 67%, with Darmstadt on 14% and the draw at 19%.

On goals, it expects around 3.8 in the game: 2.8 for VfL Wolfsburg and 0.9 for Darmstadt. Over 2.5 goals is 72% and both teams scoring 58%. When they last met, on 4 May 2024, Wolfsburg won 3-0.