Riga vs RFS prediction

Riga have won 25, drawn eight and lost two of their 35 Virsliga games so far, scoring 95 and letting in 33. That has them 2nd on 83 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, four draws and no defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with FK Jablonec; before that came a goalless draw away at Ogre United and a 5-2 win away at Grobiņa.

Riga are unbeaten in six. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the Virsliga, RFS have won 28, drawn five and lost two of 35, with 87 goals scored and 24 conceded, good for 1st place and 89 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, one draw and no defeats, averaging 2.8 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they beat Grobiņa 3-0 at home; before that came a 3-0 win away at Super Nova and a 2-0 win at home to Tukums.

RFS are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Four clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 1 conceded).

There isn't much between Riga's home form and RFS's away form. Six points separate the two sides in the table. RFS also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Riga favourites at 48%, with RFS on 26% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Riga still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.7 for Riga and 1.5 for RFS. Over 2.5 goals is 60% and both teams scoring 61%. Their last meeting, on 23 Aug 2026, finished 3-3.