Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

Chelsea have won five, drawn one and lost three of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 19 and letting in 15. That has them 4th on 16 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 2.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Everton 2-0 away; before that came a 5-1 win at home to Bournemouth and a 3-0 defeat away at Brentford.

At home they've won two of three recently (13 scored, 6 conceded). E. Emegha (muscle injury), E. Martinez (broken jawbone) and J. Gittens (ankle injury), plus three others, are all unavailable.

So far in the Premier League, Tottenham Hotspur have won three, drawn three and lost three of nine, with 10 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 9th place and 12 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Coventry 3-1 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Manchester United and a 3-2 defeat at home to Aston Villa.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 4 conceded). D. Udogie (knee injury), L. Bergvall (knee injury) and M. Mudryk (ankle injury), plus three others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Chelsea: Chelsea have won two of their last three at home, Tottenham Hotspur none of their last three on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Chelsea also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Chelsea favourites at 50%, with Tottenham Hotspur on 27% and the draw at 23%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.9 for Chelsea and 1.1 for Tottenham Hotspur. Over 2.5 goals is 60% and both teams scoring 60%. When they last met, on 19 May 2026, Chelsea won 2-1.