Rhyl vs Holyhead Hotspur prediction

So far in the FAW Championship, Rhyl have won two, drawn five and lost five of 12, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded, good for 14th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, three draws and three defeats, averaging 1.7 goals for and 2.3 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Mold Alexandra away; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Newtown AFC and a 1-1 draw away at Ruthin Town.

Rhyl haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won none of three recently (7 scored, 8 conceded).

Holyhead Hotspur have won four, drawn two and lost six of their 12 FAW Championship games so far, scoring 17 and letting in 20. That has them 10th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Penrhyncoch 3-1 at home; before that came a 2-0 win away at Buckley Town and a 4-3 win away at Bala Town.

Holyhead Hotspur are unbeaten in five. They have scored in each of their last five. On the road they've won three of three recently (10 scored, 5 conceded).

Home and away form points to Holyhead Hotspur: Rhyl have won none of their last three at home, Holyhead Hotspur three of their last three on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Holyhead Hotspur also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Rhyl favourites at 49%, with Holyhead Hotspur on 30% and the draw at 21%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Rhyl still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 1.9 for Rhyl and 1.6 for Holyhead Hotspur. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 62%. When they last met, on 26 Dec 2025, Holyhead Hotspur won 3-1.