Termoli Calcio vs Ancona prediction

Termoli Calcio have won three, drawn three and lost four of their ten Serie D - Girone F games so far, scoring 6 and letting in 7. That has them 11th on 12 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Santegidiese; before that came a goalless draw at home to Atletico Ascoli and a 1-0 defeat away at Teramo.

Termoli Calcio haven't won in three. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 0 conceded).

So far in the Serie D - Girone F, Ancona have won six, drawn two and lost two of ten, with 18 goals scored and 8 conceded, good for 3rd place and 20 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Atletico Ascoli 1-0 at home; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Robur Siena and a 5-0 win away at Vigor Senigallia.

Ancona are unbeaten in three. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (9 scored, 2 conceded).

There isn't much between Termoli Calcio's home form and Ancona's away form. Eight points separate the two sides in the table. Ancona also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Termoli Calcio favourites at 41%, with Ancona on 30% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Termoli Calcio still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.4 for Termoli Calcio and 1.2 for Ancona. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 52%.