FC Porto vs Moreirense prediction

So far in the Primeira Liga, FC Porto have won ten, drawn none and lost none of ten, with 25 goals scored and 4 conceded, good for 1st place and 30 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, no draws and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they beat Academico Viseu 3-0 away; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Arouca and a 2-0 win away at Rio Ave.

FC Porto are unbeaten in five. They have scored in each of their last six. Five clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (5 scored, 0 conceded).

Moreirense have won four, drawn two and lost four of their ten Primeira Liga games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 17. That has them 9th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Casa Pia 1-0 away; before that came a 4-0 defeat away at Arouca and a 2-2 draw at home to Sp Braga.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won one of three recently (1 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to FC Porto: FC Porto have won three of their last three at home, Moreirense one of their last three on the road. 16 points separate the two sides in the table. FC Porto also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make FC Porto clear favourites at 83%, with Moreirense on 5% and the draw at 12%.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 2.4 for FC Porto and 0.6 for Moreirense. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 42%. When they last met, on 15 Mar 2026, Porto won 3-0.