Bellinzona vs Bulle prediction

So far in the 1. Liga Promotion, Bellinzona have won two, drawn three and lost nine of 14, with 10 goals scored and 26 conceded, good for 17th place and 9 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Lugano II; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Brühl and a 2-0 win at home to Collina d'Oro.

Bellinzona are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of four recently (6 scored, 6 conceded).

Bulle have won nine, drawn three and lost two of their 14 1. Liga Promotion games so far, scoring 31 and letting in 20. That has them 1st on 30 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Grand-Saconnex 3-2 at home; before that came a 3-2 win away at Kreuzlingen and a 1-0 defeat at home to FC WIL 1900.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won two of two recently (7 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Bulle: Bellinzona have won two of their last four at home, Bulle two of their last two on the road. 21 points separate the two sides in the table. Bulle also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Bulle favourites at 45%, with Bellinzona on 34% and the draw at 21%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.5 in the game: 1.5 for Bellinzona and 2.0 for Bulle. Over 2.5 goals is 64% and both teams scoring 61%.