Milan vs Inter prediction

Milan have won six, drawn three and lost one of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 21 and letting in 12. That has them 5th on 21 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-2 to Bologna at home; before that came a 2-0 win away at Udinese and a 3-0 defeat away at Bournemouth.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of two recently (5 scored, 6 conceded). A. Saelemaekers (ankle injury), F. Tomori (muscle injury) and M. Gabbia (thigh injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

So far in the Serie A, Inter have won eight, drawn one and lost one of ten, with 26 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 2nd place and 25 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, no draws and one defeat, averaging 2.3 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Venezia 2-0 away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Fiorentina and a 1-0 win at home to Shakhtar Donetsk.

Inter are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 1 conceded). B. Pavard (thigh injury), C. Jones (thigh injury) and J. Stones (muscle injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Inter: Milan have won one of their last two at home, Inter two of their last two on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Inter also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Inter favourites at 50%, with Milan on 25% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.0 for Milan and 1.8 for Inter. Over 2.5 goals is 55% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 8 Mar 2026, AC Milan won 1-0.