Sportlust '46 vs SC Genemuiden prediction

Sportlust '46 have won five, drawn four and lost two of their 11 Derde Divisie games so far, scoring 19 and letting in 17. That has them 7th on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Eemdijk away; before that came a 3-1 defeat at home to ADO '20 and a goalless draw away at Hercules.

Sportlust '46 haven't won in four. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 8 conceded).

So far in the Derde Divisie, SC Genemuiden have won seven, drawn one and lost three of 11, with 24 goals scored and 17 conceded, good for 6th place and 22 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 2.2 goals for and 2.5 against. Last time out they beat Dordrecht 3-2 at home; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to ADO '20 and a 5-0 defeat away at Excelsior '31.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. On the road they've won none of two recently (3 scored, 10 conceded).

There isn't much between Sportlust '46's home form and SC Genemuiden's away form. Three points separate the two sides in the table. SC Genemuiden also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Sportlust '46 favourites at 47%, with SC Genemuiden on 33% and the draw at 20%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Sportlust '46 still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 1.6 for Sportlust '46 and 1.7 for SC Genemuiden. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 61%. When they last met, on 5 Apr 2025, Sportlust '46 won 2-0.